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MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS · White paper

Multiple Sclerosis Clinical Trials

Approved therapies, the pivotal-trial endpoints they were judged on, the magnitude of benefit — and the drugs that failed their endpoints, and why.

Indication overview

About multiple sclerosis — and why its trials are hard

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic immune-mediated disease of the central nervous system in which autoimmune attack on myelin causes inflammation, demyelination, and progressive neurodegeneration. It is usually diagnosed between ages 20-50, is two-to-three times more common in women, and shows higher prevalence farther from the equator. Diagnosis follows the McDonald criteria (2017 revision) integrating clinical and MRI evidence of dissemination in space and time. Disease-modifying therapy has evolved from interferon betas and glatiramer acetate to oral agents (dimethyl fumarate, S1P modulators such as fingolimod, cladribine) and high-efficacy monoclonal antibodies (natalizumab, ocrelizumab, ofatumumab). Ocrelizumab is notable as the first therapy approved for primary progressive MS. Pivotal endpoints include annualized relapse rate, confirmed disability progression on the EDSS, MRI lesion activity, brain volume loss, and the composite NEDA. Progressive MS remains a graveyard for trials: opicinumab, rituximab in PPMS, and the MS-SMART agents failed to slow progression, reflecting disease heterogeneity and the limits of relapse-based endpoints.

Indication
Multiple Sclerosis
ICD-10-CM
G35 — Multiple sclerosis

Approved therapies & pivotal evidence

What's been approved — and by how much it moved the endpoint

Drug (brand)ApprovedSettingPivotal trialPrimary endpointMagnitude of benefit
Glatiramer acetate (Copaxone) 1996Relapsing-remitting MS (immunomodulator)Pivotal RRMS trial (Johnson et al.)Relapse rate~29% reduction in relapse rate vs placebo
Natalizumab (Tysabri) 2004Relapsing MS (anti-VLA-4 alpha-4 integrin antibody; 2004 approval, reintroduced 2006 with REMS)AFFIRMAnnualized relapse rate and disability progression~68% relative reduction in annualized relapse rate vs placebo at 1 year
Fingolimod (Gilenya) 2010Relapsing MS (first oral therapy; sphingosine-1-phosphate receptor modulator)FREEDOMSAnnualized relapse rate~54% reduction in annualized relapse rate vs placebo (0.5 mg)
Ocrelizumab (Ocrevus) 2017Relapsing MS and primary progressive MS (anti-CD20 B-cell monoclonal antibody; first PPMS therapy)OPERA I/II (RMS); ORATORIO (PPMS)Annualized relapse rate (OPERA); confirmed disability progression (ORATORIO)~46-47% lower ARR vs interferon beta-1a; ORATORIO reduced 12-week confirmed disability progression (~24% relative)
Ofatumumab (Kesimpta) 2020Relapsing MS (subcutaneous anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody)ASCLEPIOS I and IIAnnualized relapse rate vs teriflunomideARR ~0.11 vs ~0.22 (roughly 50-59% relative reduction vs teriflunomide)
Cladribine (Mavenclad) 2019Relapsing forms of MS including active secondary progressive (oral selective immune reconstitution)CLARITYAnnualized relapse rate~58% reduction in annualized relapse rate vs placebo (3.5 mg/kg)

Where trials have failed

Drugs that missed their endpoint — and what contributed

The most instructive lessons in multiple sclerosis development come from programmes that failed the endpoint that mattered.

Drug / trialEndpoint outcomeWhat contributed
Opicinumab (anti-LINGO-1) — SYNERGY (NCT01864148) / RENEW (optic neuritis, NCT01721161)Failed to meet primary endpointNo significant remyelination/disability benefit; complex non-linear dose response, heterogeneous repair biology
Rituximab — OLYMPUS (NCT00087529, PPMS)Missed primary endpoint of slowing disability progression in PPMSDifferent pathology in progressive vs relapsing MS; benefit limited to younger patients with inflammatory lesions
Amiloride, fluoxetine, riluzole — MS-SMART (NCT01910259, SPMS)None of the three repurposed neuroprotectants slowed brain atrophy or disabilityIncomplete understanding of progressive MS pathology; endpoints insensitive to neurodegeneration

Choosing the right endpoint

Primary endpoints that matter in multiple sclerosis trials

  • Annualized relapse rate (ARR) — Common primary endpoint reflecting acute CNS inflammation in relapsing MS
  • Confirmed disability progression (EDSS) — Expanded Disability Status Scale change sustained at 12 or 24 weeks; key for progressive MS
  • MRI lesion activity — New/enlarging T2 and gadolinium-enhancing lesions as surrogate inflammation markers
  • Brain volume loss (atrophy) — Marker of neurodegeneration and long-term progression
  • No Evidence of Disease Activity (NEDA) — Composite of no relapses, no MRI activity, and no EDSS progression

How iNGENū runs multiple sclerosis trials

Physician-led design, built for FDA submission

Endpoint & biomarker strategy

Board-certified specialists design endpoints and patient selection aligned to current FDA guidance for this indication.

FDA-ready data

Built to ICH-GCP and 21 CFR 312.120, with direct FDA submission — data accepted by the FDA, EMA and MHRA.

Faster, lower-cost delivery

~4-week ethics via the TGA CTN scheme, up to 43.5% R&D rebate, and 80–90% below US CRO cost.

PDF
Multiple Sclerosis - Overcoming Clinical Trial Challenges
The full white paper: approved-product analyses, pivotal endpoints and trial-design strategy. Open-access · no sign-in.
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Frequently asked questions

Multiple Sclerosis clinical trials — FAQs

Why is progressive MS so hard to treat in trials?
Progressive MS is driven more by neurodegeneration than acute inflammation, so relapse- and MRI-based endpoints are less sensitive. Disease heterogeneity, slow progression, and the lack of validated neuroprotective biomarkers led high-profile trials such as opicinumab, rituximab in PPMS, and MS-SMART to fail.
What made ocrelizumab a milestone therapy?
Ocrelizumab, an anti-CD20 B-cell antibody, reduced annualized relapse rate by about 46-47% versus interferon beta-1a in OPERA I/II and, in ORATORIO, became the first therapy to significantly slow confirmed disability progression in primary progressive MS.
What is NEDA and why does it matter?
NEDA (No Evidence of Disease Activity) is a composite endpoint requiring no relapses, no new or enlarging MRI lesions, and no confirmed EDSS progression. It provides a stricter, more comprehensive treatment target than relapse rate alone.

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