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Oncology · Clinical trials

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Clinical Trials

Approved therapies, the pivotal-trial endpoints they were judged on, the magnitude of benefit — and the drugs that failed their endpoints, and why.

Indication overview

About hepatocellular carcinoma — and why its trials are hard

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the dominant primary liver malignancy, arising most often against a backdrop of cirrhosis from hepatitis B or C, alcohol, or metabolic (MASH) liver disease. Because underlying liver dysfunction constrains therapy, prognosis and treatment are stratified by both tumor burden and hepatic reserve (Child-Pugh, BCLC staging). For over a decade after sorafenib's 2007 approval, systemic options were limited to multikinase inhibitors. The field transformed in 2020 when the atezolizumab plus bevacizumab combination (IMbrave150) became the first regimen to beat sorafenib on overall survival, establishing immunotherapy-based combinations as first-line standard. Dual checkpoint blockade with durvalumab plus tremelimumab (HIMALAYA STRIDE) followed in 2022, offering a bevacizumab-free option for patients with varices or bleeding risk. Lenvatinib provides a first-line non-immunotherapy alternative, while regorafenib and cabozantinib serve later lines. Overall survival for advanced disease has roughly doubled, though durable responses remain a minority and biomarker-driven selection is still immature.

Indication
Hepatocellular Carcinoma
ICD-10-CM
C22.0 — Liver cell carcinoma

Approved therapies & pivotal evidence

What's been approved — and by how much it moved the endpoint

Drug (brand)ApprovedSettingPivotal trialPrimary endpointMagnitude of benefit
Atezolizumab + bevacizumab (Tecentriq + Avastin)2020First-line unresectable/metastatic HCCIMbrave150 (Phase III)Overall survival and progression-free survival vs sorafenibOS HR 0.58 (later updated ~0.66); median OS 19.2 vs 13.4 months
Durvalumab + tremelimumab (Imjudo + Imfinzi (STRIDE regimen))2022First-line unresectable HCCHIMALAYA (Phase III)Overall survival vs sorafenibOS HR ~0.78; median OS 16.4 vs 13.8 months; 3-year OS ~31% vs 20%
Lenvatinib (Lenvima)2018First-line unresectable HCCREFLECT (Phase III)Overall survival (non-inferiority) vs sorafenibMedian OS 13.6 vs 12.3 months; non-inferior, with higher ORR and PFS
Sorafenib (Nexavar)2007First-line advanced HCC (historical standard)SHARP (Phase III)Overall survival vs placeboMedian OS 10.7 vs 7.9 months; HR 0.69
Regorafenib (Stivarga)2017Second-line after sorafenib progressionRESORCE (Phase III)Overall survival vs placeboMedian OS 10.6 vs 7.8 months; HR 0.63
Cabozantinib (Cabometyx)2019Second-line after prior systemic therapyCELESTIAL (Phase III)Overall survival vs placeboMedian OS 10.2 vs 8.0 months; HR 0.76

Where trials have failed

Drugs that missed their endpoint — and what contributed

The most instructive lessons in hepatocellular carcinoma development come from programmes that failed the endpoint that mattered.

Drug / trialEndpoint outcomeWhat contributed
Sorafenib (adjuvant) — STORM (Phase III)Failed to improve recurrence-free survival after resection or ablationNo RFS benefit vs placebo (median RFS 33.3 vs 33.7 months); toxicity without efficacy in the adjuvant setting
Tivantinib — METIV-HCC (Phase III)Failed second-line; no overall survival benefitMET-high selection strategy did not translate to OS gain; questions over MET dependency and drug mechanism

Choosing the right endpoint

Primary endpoints that matter in hepatocellular carcinoma trials

  • Overall survival (OS) — The regulatory gold standard in advanced HCC; most pivotal wins (IMbrave150, SHARP, HIMALAYA) were driven by OS.
  • Progression-free survival (PFS) — Frequently co-primary or key secondary; must be interpreted alongside underlying liver function decline.
  • Objective response rate (ORR) — Supported accelerated pathways; immunotherapy combinations produce durable but minority responses (~30%).
  • Time to progression (TTP) — Used in early TKI trials to separate tumor progression from cirrhosis-related deaths.
  • Child-Pugh / liver function preservation — A practical safety endpoint; eligibility and dosing hinge on hepatic reserve, limiting most trials to Child-Pugh A.

How iNGENū runs hepatocellular carcinoma trials

Physician-led design, built for FDA submission

Endpoint & biomarker strategy

Board-certified specialists design endpoints and patient selection aligned to current FDA guidance for this indication.

FDA-ready data

Built to ICH-GCP and 21 CFR 312.120, with direct FDA submission — data accepted by the FDA, EMA and MHRA.

Faster, lower-cost delivery

~4-week ethics via the TGA CTN scheme, up to 43.5% R&D rebate, and 80–90% below US CRO cost.

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Frequently asked questions

Hepatocellular Carcinoma clinical trials — FAQs

What is the current first-line standard for advanced HCC?
Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (IMbrave150) is the preferred first-line regimen, having shown a superior overall survival benefit over sorafenib (HR 0.58 in the primary analysis). Durvalumab plus tremelimumab (HIMALAYA) is an alternative, particularly for patients at high bleeding risk who cannot receive bevacizumab.
Why did it take so long to improve on sorafenib?
From 2007 to 2017 multiple agents failed in Phase III, partly because underlying cirrhosis confounds survival and early trials struggled with patient selection. Immune checkpoint inhibitors combined with anti-angiogenics finally delivered a meaningful survival advantage in 2020.
Does liver function affect treatment choice?
Critically. Most pivotal trials enrolled Child-Pugh A patients with preserved liver function. Decompensated cirrhosis (Child-Pugh B/C) markedly worsens tolerance and prognosis, so hepatic reserve is weighed alongside tumor stage in every treatment decision.

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